Feel like everything that’s needed to be said about Florida State and the CFP has been said – also, I’m tired of hearing about it. So I’m just getting right into the picks.
Patriots-Steelers under-30.5. The Patriots continue to find new ends to the Earth. The Pats have given up 46 points over their last four games and haven’t won a single one of them. That might be the most impressive feat they’ve accomplished under Belichick. I mean, someone wins the Super Bowl every year.
Ravens cover at home against the Rams. Rams have won three straight against the Seahawks, Cardinals and Browns. None of those teams are the Ravens, one of the clear candidates to be playing football in February.
Panthers-Saints under-37.5. Nothing about this game is appealing.
Colts over Bengals. Indy goes into Cincy having won four straight. I have a hard time seeing Jake Browning replicating his performance from Monday night.
Jaguars over Browns, Falcons over Buccaneers. Old enough to remember when Cleveland-Jacksonville was Deshaun Watson vs Trevor Lawrence. The critically acclaimed Browns defense has given up 125.4 rushing yards per game their last nine times out. Falcons have allowed just 23 points over their last two games – also, only the Ravens and 49ers have given up fewer touchdowns than Atlanta this season.
Lions and Texans cover on the road. Two playoff teams against two bottom-feeders. Don’t overthink it.
49ers cover against Seahawks. Niners have won their nine games by an average of 15.8 points. They’ll cover the 10.5 point spread at home against Seattle.
Raiders over Vikings at home. Does anyone else sense the Vikings have played their best football? Give me the Raiders as home dogs.
Broncos beat Chargers on the road. Denver made the road to ending its eight-year playoff drought tougher, but far from insurmountable, with last week’s loss to the Texans. A loss to the Bolts would put the 6-6 Broncos in a vulnerable position with the Lions looming next week.
Last team to get the ball wins game of the week: Bills vs Chiefs. And I’ll give the edge to Patrick Mahomes with the game at Arrowhead. With that said, the Bills need this one like you wouldn’t believe.
Eagles over Cowboys. Jalen Hurts hasn’t lost back-to-back starts since October 2021.
Dolphins cover -13.5 against Titans, Packers-Giants goes under-36.5. Dolphins have covered four of the five games this season in which they’ve been favored by more than one possession. In the case of Packers-Giants, the under has hit in 13 of 15 Monday night games this season. Even if the Packers offense continues to roll, the Giants offense should help that under cash.
Puck Watching 